Polymarket Puts 30% on Iran Deal Even as US Threatens Nuclear Strike — What the Prediction Market Misses
Parsing the entropy in geopolitical prediction markets. On May 20, 2024,...
DeFi
•
0xBen
•
2026-07-24
#market inefficiency
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ETH
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SOL
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ADA
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DOT
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+1.17%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.01
-2.03%
Fear & Greed
27
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202618
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$62,618.5
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,837.8
1
Solana
SOL
$71.43
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$575.7
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.05
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0686
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1727
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.13
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.7726
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.01
Trending
Tools
All →Altseason Index
44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0x3aac...50bc
3h ago
Out
559.09 BTC
🔴
0x3f9e...04b0
5m ago
Out
34,582 SOL
🔴
0xbc0d...e294
12h ago
Out
9,519,192 DOGE
💡 Smart Money
0x56bc...82f6
Institutional Custody
+$3.2M
60%
0x7432...dbc0
Early Investor
+$3.2M
65%
0xc46b...c43c
Early Investor
-$3.7M
76%